Wednesday, April 30, 2008

尼日利亚沿海开发专案是钻探和生产设备制造商Cameron International(代号:CAM)长足发展的契机,该公司最近在该项目上获得了一份供应合同。

Cameron生产用于原油和天然气井方面进行控压和直流的设备和系统。公司的钻探设备用于陆地,离岸,平台,海底领域。分析师表示,该公司是水面井楼和水面采油树的头号供应商,这些设备用于陆地或离岸浅水区。圣诞树由阀,管组成,适用于控制流出的石油和天然气。 Cameron同时是海底采油树的2号供应商,仅次于FMC Technologies(代号:FTI),海底采油树应用于建在海床上的钻井。

新合同
三月,Cameron获得了一份初始价值在6.5亿美圆的合同,为道达尔(代号:TOT)的Usan油田一期专案---一44口井的海底开发专案,提供海底系统。根据该协定,Cameron将为道达尔在尼日利亚的分部提供海底系统工程和专案管理,还有海底采油树以及相关设备。此协议还包括了每口钻井200万美圆的安装费。初始设备出货和安装将在2009年一季度开始,海底采油树的安装和出货将从2012年开始。 Cameron的高管拒绝对此合同做评论。但是有员工表示这份合同是公司至今所获得的最大的合同之一。

Wachovia Capital Markets的分析师Brad Handler表示,“最重要的一点是尼日利亚储油丰富。他们能够完成整个工程进度将是个利好。”Natixis Bleichroeder的分析师Jeffrey Spittel表示,“公司有一些大单,但是道达尔的合同非常庞大。”

Cameron将在周四发布一季度业绩,Spittel预计业绩良好。 Thomson Reuters的分析师预估收益增长23%,至0.54美圆/股。同时,Cameron已经连续12个季度高于华尔街的预期。

Handler表示,“我们已经公开表示过对公司2008年一季度收益超预期感到乐观。营收将相当强劲,这可以从公司的一些部门看出。”四季度公司收益增长33%,至0.61美圆/股。营收同比增长25%,至13.4亿美圆。该季度登记定单增长超过20%,至14.9亿美圆,由于其最大部门, Drilling & Production Systems的季度定单首次超出10亿美圆。

石油繁荣期
与其他钻探和生产设备制造商相同,Cameron正处于原油和天然气勘探的爆炸时代。

Thomson Reuters的分析师预计Cameron2008全年收益增长20%,至2.56美圆/股,2009年为20%。尽管Cameron的竞争对手多如牛毛,但是海底市场正快速增长,足够原油和天然气开发商分享。

1 comment:

GDC said...

Investor's Business Daily
Offshore Nigerian Oil Project Drives Growth For Equipment Maker
Tuesday April 29, 5:58 pm ET
Marilyn Much

Drilling and production equipment maker Cameron International stands to get a nice boost from a recent contract to supply systems for a development project off the coast of Nigeria.

Cameron (NYSE:CAM - News) makes equipment and systems used to control pressure and direct flow from oil and gas wells. Its drilling systems are used for land, offshore, platform and subsea applications.

It's the No. 1 supplier of surface wellheads and surface Christmas trees used on land or offshore in shallow water, analysts say. A Christmas tree is an assembly of valves, pipes and fittings to control the flow of oil and gas from a well.

Cameron is the No. 2 player behind FMC Technologies (NYSE:FTI - News) in subsea Christmas trees, which are used in wells located on the seabed.

New Contract

In March, Cameron won a contract with an initial value of about $650 million to provide subsea systems for the first phase of major oil company Total S.A.'s Usan, a 44-well subsea development project.

Under the contract, Cameron will provide subsea systems engineering and project management as well as subsea Christmas trees and related equipment for Total's Nigerian subsidiary, Elf Petroleum Nigeria.

The accord also includes provisions for additional revenue of $2 million per well tied to installation and support over the life of the contract. Initial equipment delivery and installation is slated to begin in the first quarter of 2009, with deliveries of subsea trees and associated equipment to continue through 2012.

Cameron executives weren't available for comment. But the contract is one of the biggest Cameron has ever won, say followers.

The deal was a good win and an expected win, says analyst Brad Handler of Wachovia Capital Markets, noting that the project was many months late.

"What's significant about it is that Nigeria is turbulent," he said. "The fact they could proceed with the project at all is a positive. It probably also says something about other deep-water projects, i.e., there will be delays, but they are too important a source of oil company growth for them not to proceed."

The company has had a few large orders, but the Total contract is a "pretty chunky" one, said analyst Jeffrey Spittel of Natixis Bleichroeder.

"This is what you like to see," he said. "In many cases, a subsea tree award can be for one or a couple of trees rather than 15 to 30 trees. This award helps make the backlog grow, which gives you more earnings and cash flow."

When Cameron reports first-quarter earnings Thursday, Spittel expects good results. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters see first-quarter earnings rising 23% to 54 cents a share.

Meanwhile, Cameron has topped Wall Street forecasts for 12 straight quarters.

"We have published that we are optimistic about it beating consensus for Q1 2008," said Handler. "The basis would be stronger revenues, which could come from a few of its segments."

The projected strong showing follows hefty fourth-quarter gains. Earnings climbed 33% to 61 cents a share. Revenue rose 25% to $1.34 billion.

Orders booked during the quarter were up more than 20% to $1.49 billion as its largest unit, Drilling & Production Systems, posted its first billion-dollar orders quarter.

Its second-largest unit is Valves & Measurement. It makes valves such as chokes, which are used to control the rate and pressure of the flow of production from a well or through flow lines. The unit's revenue rose 10%.

Its smallest arm, Compression Systems, posted a 19% gain. This segment makes products such as compressors that compress natural gas to higher pressures so that the gas can flow into pipelines and other facilities.

At year-end, Cameron's total backlog was up 21% from the prior year to $4.27 billion, about 80% of which is expected to be shipped in 2008.

Oil Boom

Like its peers in the drilling and production equipment business, Cameron is riding the crest of the oil and gas exploration boom.

Followers expect Cameron to keep up its fast growth. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect full-year 2008 earnings to rise 20% to $2.56 a share and then 20% in 2009.

Although Cameron has lots of large rivals, the subsea market is fast-growing and large enough to where the oil and gas operators tend to spread the business around, Spittel says.

"There's a pretty substantial market opportunity out there, especially with deep-water and international development," he said.

Handler says Cameron is considered a front-runner in a couple of large subsea tree awards in western Africa.

One possibility is as a provider of equipment for Block 31 in Angola, operated by BP (NYSE:BP - News). This award is expected to come through in 2008.

Cameron's surface business should also get a boost from higher natural gas prices in the U.S.